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May 27, 2008

Philippines: External Trade Figures for March and First Quarter 2008

Filed under: Economic Data, Philippines — admin @ 3:55 pm

Today the National Statistics Office released external trade figures.

In the first quarter 2008 total external trade in goods increased by 11.4% to USD 27.141 billion from USD 24.361 billion in the first three months in 2007. While total imports grew by 20.1% to USD 14.606 billion from $12.161 billion in the first quarter of 2007, total exports grew only modestly by 2.7% to USD 12.536 billion from USD 12.201 billion during the same quarter in 2007. Philippines reported a Balance of trade in goods (BOT-G) deficit of USD 2.070 billion for the first quarter in 2008.

Singapore was the country’s biggest source of imports for March 2008 with a 13.4% share of the total import bill or an increase of 29.7% to USD 686.35 million from USD 529.08 million in March 2007. Exports to Singapore amounted to USD 183.34 million, yielding a two-way trade value of USD 869.69 billion and a trade deficit for the Republic of Philippines at USD 503.02 million.

United States of America (USA) followed as the second biggest source of imports with a 13.3% share, recording payments worth USD 683.41 million or a decline of 13.2% from USD 786.93 million in March 2007. Exports to United States, on the other hand, reached USD 684.33 million, which generated a total trade value of USD 1.368 billion and a USD 0.92 million trade surplus for the Philippines.

Japan came third, accounting for a 10.9% share of the total import bill in March 2008, down by 5.7% to USD 556.86 million from USD 590.72 million in March 2007. Exports to Japan amounted to USD 710.99 million resulting to a total trade value of USD 1.268 billion and a trade surplus of USD 154.13 million.

Higher international crude oil prices had a signifant impact on imports. In March 2008 imports of Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and Related Materials rose by 87.1% to USD 1.169 billion compared to USD 625.02 million a year earlier.



May 26, 2008

Thailand: GDP Growth Accelerated to 6 Percent in First Quarter 2008

Filed under: Economic Data, Thailand — admin @ 12:02 pm

In Bangkok the Government announced that the gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 6% to Baht 2,297.8 billion in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. The growth was mainly driven by domestic demand. In the fourth quarter of 2007 the economy expanded by 5.6% in Thailand.

Prime Minister Samak Sundaravej promised to spur economic growth by spending on infrastructure investment. Consumer confidence climbed after the new government was formed this February and minimum rate wage was raised.

Trade balance at current market prices registered a surplus of Baht 95.1 billion.

On August 25th, 2008 the Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board will release the data for GDP in the second quarter of 2008.



Indonesia: Investment Opportunities at the Indonesian Regional Investment Forum

Filed under: Indonesia, Investment Opportunities — Tags: — admin @ 5:22 am

Today investors from the United States, Asia and Europe can meet directly with indonesian businesspeople at the Indonesian Regional Investment Forum (IRIF). While there are big infrastructure projects seeking billions US dollars of investment there are smaller projects for private investors too. Below you can find a summary of projects for private investors with less than USD 2.5 Million of capital needed.

With a population of more than 230 million, Indonesia might reach again the high economic growth rate as before the Asian crisis when the gross domestic product (GPD) grew by an average of more than 7% per year from 1989-1997.

Project AGRIBUSINESS/PLANTATION Region Investment
Development of Cultivation Green Mussel Banten Province USD 142.000
Tea Industry West Java Province USD 1,500,000
Seaweed Processing & Cattle Breeding Project Banggai Regency USD 156,000
Development of Cocoa Industry Banggai Regency USD 170,000
Prawn Fishpond and Seaweed Brebes Regency USD 2,400,000
Integrated Karangpucung Sheep Ranch Cilacap Regency USD 1,400,000
Potato Processing Industry Kerinci Regency USD 2,128,000
Fresh Water Fish Canning and Cold Storage Kerinci Regency USD 1,064,000
Project INFRASTRUCTURE Region Investment
Development of continuing Seaport Tangkiang Banggai Regency USD 755,000
Procurement of Transportation - Fast Boat Banggai Regency USD 1,721,000
Project MINING/ENERGY Region Investment
Cisukarame Cisolok Geothermal Power Plant West Java Province USD 2,300,000
Project PROPERTY/TOURISM Region Investment
Development of Jatiluhur Tourism Resort West Java Province USD 840,000
Agribusiness Based Tourism West Java Province USD 400,000
Small Medium Industries Development (5 project) Yogyakarta Province USD 2,500,000
Development of Hot Spring Water Uwedeka & Salodik Tour Area Banggai Regency USD 140,000
Development of Maci Beach Area Sumbawa Regency USD 1,500,000
Coastal Tourism of Radusanga Indah Brebes Regency USD 780,000


May 25, 2008

Indonesia: Indonesian Regional Investment Forum (IRIF)

Filed under: Events, Indonesia — admin @ 1:45 pm

Tomorrow the Indonesian Regional Investment Forum (IRIF) will open its doors. More than 200 projects in infrastructure, mining and energy, property and tourism sector are searching for potential investors.

Tony Gorlay, project leader of the IRIF, expects more than 300 investors to join the two days event and to get more information about the proposed projects with a volume of nearly USD 19 billion.

Investors from China, India, the United States, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia and several European countries can put their money into small projects like a cattle breeding project in Central Sulawesi (USD 88.000) or like projects like the development of the Bojonegara oil refinery in Banten (USD 4 Billion).

The following businesspeople and politicans will participate:

  • Agus Martowardojo, President Director Bank Mandiri
  • Arie Soemarno, CEO Pertamina 
  • Dato’ Azman bin Hj. Mokhtar, CEO of Malaysia-based investment bank Khazanah Nasional
  • Edgar A. Cua, Country Director, Asian Development Bank, Indonesia
  • Gita Wirajawan, Country Head, JP Morgan
  • Guy Outen, Executive Vice President Shell
  • James Riady, Chairman Lippo Group
  • Miranda S. Goeltom, Senior Deputy Governor Bank Indonesia
  • MS Hidayat, Chairman, Indonesian Chamber of Commerce Industry (KADIN)
  • Muhamad Lutfi, Chairman Indonesian Investment Coordinating Board
  • Sofyan Basir, President Director of Bank Rakyat Indonesia
  • Sri Mulyani Indrawati, Minister of Finance, Indonesia
  • Thaksin Shinawatra, former Prime Minister of Thailand
  • Tun Musa Hitam, Chairman of Malaysia’s palm oil producer Sime Darby
  • Tanri Abeng, Chairman PT Telekomunikasi

Date: May 26th & May 27th, 2008, 09:00-21:00 WIB
Venue: The Ritz Carlton Jakarta, Pacific Place 



May 24, 2008

Malaysia: Real Estate Market Report 2007

Filed under: Malaysia, Real Estate — admin @ 10:04 am

On April 17, 2008 the National Property Information Center (NAPIC) released the Malaysia Property Market 2007 report.

The Malaysian property market remained buoyant in 2007. The overall market strengthened with increases in both transaction volume and value, improved sales performance for the newly launched housing units and reduced numbers of property overhangs. However, property construction activities moderated with increased newly completed units but decreased construction starts and building plan approvals.

The market recorded 309,455 transactions valued at RM77.14 billion during the year. The transaction volume recorded a 9.0% increase (2006: 283,897 transactions) whilst value grew by 25.2% (2006: RM61.60 billion) against 2006. Residential property sub-sector remained as the most dominant sub-sector comprising 64.5% of the total volume and 47.3% of the value of transactions. Agricultural property was the second most active forming 19.4% of the market share. Commercial property, development land and industrial property subsectors followed at 9.0%, 4.5% and 2.6% of the total transactions respectively. 

The residential property sub-sector remained the leading market contributor accounting for 64.5% and 47.3% of the transaction volume and value, respectively. There were 199,482 transactions worth RM36.49 billion recorded in 2007 against 182,555 transactions worth RM29.45 billion in 2006. The transaction volume and value increased by 9.3% and 23.9% respectively. However, the performance of the states was mixed. Most states recorded promising growths in the market activity with Kelantan leading the highest increase of 46.3%, followed by Perlis 35.3% and Selangor 27.2%. Selangor was the most active state capturing 0.8% (61,364 transactions) of the residential market share followed by Johor 12.0% (22,963 transactions) and Perak 11.1% (22,239 transactions).

Prices of residential properties were largely mixed with most states recording increases in preferred or choice locations. The Malaysian All House Price Index, the All House Price Index for the country was at 124.0 points for 2007. Compared to 2006, the index point increased by 4.8% (2006: 118.3 points). Correspondingly, the price of the “average” all houses increased but at a slightly lower rate of 2.2% from RM170,158 in Q4 2006 to RM173,998 per unit in Q4 2007. Kuala Lumpur had the highest price level in the country at RM393,211. Selangor and Sabah followed at RM253,225 and RM236,804 respectively.

By price range, houses priced below RM150,000 continued to be the most sought after comprising 61.5% (122,820 transactions) of the total market volume. It was observed that houses priced at RM500,000 and above appeared to be popular since 2004. Houses in this category recorded upward trend in the transaction volume from 5,491 transactions in 2004, 5,735 transactions in 2005, 7,274 transactions in 2006 to 9,661 this year. Selangor accounted for almost half (4,786 transactions) of this price category and followed by Kuala Lumpur at 30.0% (2,856 transactions).

By type, housing units formed 86.3% (172,207 transactions) of the total residential property transactions while another 13.6% (27,058) were vacant plot transactions. From the housing unit transactions, terraced units were the most favoured comprising 44.5% (88,765 transactions) of the total volume. Condominium/apartment and low cost houses followed at 10.1% (20,202 units) and 8.4% (16,812 units) respectively. Landed housing units dominated the residential market activity in most states except Kuala Lumpur and Pulau Pinang. In Kuala Lumpur, high-rise units comprising condominium/apartment, flat and low-cost flat captured 62.2% (9,380 transactions) of the market share. Whilst in Pulau Pinang, these properties collectively made up 50.7% (7,413 transactions) of the total residential property volume. Meanwhile, in Kelantan and Terengganu, vacant plots were the most prevalent forming 81.0% (2,280 transactions) and 65.7% (5,445 transactions) of the respective state’s market share.

The primary market was encouraging to record higher newly launched units as well as improved sales performance. There were 52,664 new housing units offered for sale of which 23,749 units were taken up, achieving an average sales performance of 45.1%, which is better than 40.6% recorded in 2006. Since 2002, the sales performance had been on a declining trend from 54.7% to 52.3% in 2003, 48.0% in 2004, 46.2% in 2005 and 40.6% in 2006: The improved market absorption indicated a growing confidence in the housing market. Selangor had the most number of new units offered for sale (13,723 units). Johor and Perak followed with 9,037 units and 6,668 units respectively. Combined, the three states accounted for 56.0% of the country’s new units launched. By type, terraced units comprising 13,264 single storey terrace and 13,992 units of two to three storey terrace formed 51.8% (27,256 units) of the new launches. About 44.4% (23,384 units) of the total terraced units were priced at RM150,000 and below. Perlis recorded the highest sales performance at 86.6%. Terengganu and Negeri Sembilan followed each at 65.8% and Pahang at 62.6%. However, the numbers offered for sales in these states were relatively small i.e. Perlis at 591 units; Terengganu at 412 units, Negeri Sembilan at 3,005 units and Pahang at 2,865 units. After Kedah (32.9%), Johor and Perak recorded the second and third lowest sales performance at 34.1% and 34.6% respectively. Along with the encouraging performance in the primary market, the number of residential overhang decreased by 6.9% to 23,866 units against 25,645 units recorded in 2006. Correspondingly, the overhang value reduced by 8.8% to RM3.82 billion (2006: RM4.18 billion). Johor (6,941 units), Selangor (4,053 units) and Sabah (2,447 units) were the three main states with higher numbers of overhang. By type, two to three storey terrace and condominium/apartment formed the biggest share in the overhang numbers. These property types contributed 26.2% (6,242 units) and 25.7% (6,142 units) of the residential overhang respectively.

On the supply side, the construction development of residential property was more cautious with reductions in starts and new building plan approvals albeit an increase in completions. The number of completed units increased by 4.2% from 171,448 units in 2006 to 178,608 units. Housing starts on the other hand, reduced by 7.2% to 133,866 units against 144,268 units recorded in 2006.

Likewise, new building plan approvals decreased by 10.3% from 154,703 units in similar period to 138,822 units. As at year-end, the total existing housing stock in the country stood at 4,043,040 units, incoming supply at 574,841 units and planned supply at 647,615 units.

The Valuation and Property Services Department (JPPH) of the Ministry of Finance Malaysia set up the National Property Information Center (NAPIC) upon the recommendation of the National Economic Action Council (MTEN) on 9th September 1999. NAPIC is responsible to collect, collate and disseminate information related to the property industry.



May 23, 2008

Indonesia: Fuel Prices up by 28.7 Percent

Filed under: Economic Data, Indonesia — admin @ 7:44 am

Today the Indonesian Government raised subsidized fuel prices by an average of 28.7%.

The price for premium gasoline was increased from IDR 4.500 to IDR 6.000 (up 33.3%), diesel rose from IDR 4.300 to IDR 5.500 (up 27.9%) and kerosene prices climbed from IDR 2.000 to IDR 2.500 (up 25%) per liter.

After the skyrocketing oil price reached levels above USD 135 per barrel the Indonesian Government had to adjust the fuel prices Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Purnomo Yusgiantoro announced in a press conference today. In Indonesia the last fuel price increase took place in October 2005 after the oil prices broke the psychological barrier of USD 60.-/barrel for the first time in history in June 2005.

The chairman of the Central Statistics Agency, Dr. Rusman Heriawan expects that inflation rate for May 2008 will now rise above the level of 10%.



May 19, 2008

Philippines: Government Posts Budget Surplus in April 2008

Filed under: Economic Data, Philippines — admin @ 1:58 pm

Today the Philippine Government reported a budget surplus of PHP 25.8 Billion for April 2008. Total renvenues rose by 20.6% to PHP 122 Billion while expenditures increased only by 7.9% to PHP 96.3 Billion.

For January to April 2008 the budget deficit was recorded at PHP 25.8 Billion, a decrease of 35.5% from PHP 40.0 Billion for the same period in 2007. 

For 2008 the Philippine Government targets to reach a balanced budget but this target might be revised because of the economic slowdown. The release of the first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data is scheduled for May 29th.



May 16, 2008

Philippines: Non Performing Loans (NPL) Settles at 4.7 Percent in February

Filed under: Economic Data, Philippines — admin @ 2:11 pm

Today the Philippine Central Bank, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, announced that by end of February 20008 the non performing loans (NPL) ratio of universal and commerical settled sighltly higher at 4.70% compared to 4.67% in the previous month.

The total amount of NPLs rose to PHP 97.82 Billion from PHP 97.65 Billion in January 2008, while to total loan portfolio (TLP) was reduced to PHP 2,079,57 Billion from PHP 2,093.04 Billion



May 15, 2008

Philippines: Overseas Filipinos Remittances Reaches Nearly USD 4 Billion in Q1/2008

Filed under: Economic Data, Philippines — admin @ 8:07 am

Today Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas announced new records for overseas remittances in a media release.

In the first quarter of 2008 Overeas Filipinos (OFs) coursed USD 3.950 Billion through banks compared to USD 3.489 Billion in the first three months of 2008. In March 2008 the remittances climbed to USD 1.427 Billion compared to USD 1.304 Billion in March 2007. This is the highest monthly level recorded thus far.

Based on the preliminary data from the Philippines Overseas Employment Administration (POEA) the number of Filipinos workings abroad has risen by more then 13% to over 263.000.

Again USA, Saudiarabia, UK, Italy, United Arab Emirates, Canada, Japan, Singapore and Hongkong contributed the biggest share of the remittances.



May 14, 2008

Indonesia: GDP Growth to Slow to 6.1 Percent in Q1/2008

Filed under: Economic Data, Indonesia — admin @ 5:08 pm

In 2007 Indonesia’s gross domenst product (GDP) expanded by 6.3%. This economic growth was mainly driven by private consumption.

For the first quarter of 2008 Bank Indonesia (BI) estimates that the economy has grown by 6.1%, which is below the government’s estimated growth of 6.2% to 6.3%. Higher food and crude oil prices and a global economic slowdown are responsible for the slower investment and consumption growth.

Indonesia’s economy depends highly on local consumer spending and exports. While rising prices and lower consumer confidence caused weakening consumer spending exports were hurt by the US subprime crises.

Bank Indonesia predicts that investment growth slowed to 8.3% in the first three months of 2008 compared to 12.1% in the same period of 2007, while consumption only grew by 4.6% compared to 5.1%.

In the first quarter 2008 crude oil and commodity prices rose dramatically. Basic food products like rice and soya beans doubled its price.

Miranda Swaray Goeltom, Bank Indonesia’s senior deputy governor, expects rising inflation after the year-on-year inflation for the first quarter of 2008 reached 8.17% compared to 6.59% in the last quarter of 2007.

The Central Statistics Agency (BSP) will announce the official data of Indonesia economic growth for the first quarter of 2008 on May 15h, 2008.



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